Utica 
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 82.8447
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
226 H Oswego SUNYAC (15- 2, 87.8) 7-18
301 H Buffalo State SUNYAC (12- 7, 84.4) 10-11
304 A New Paltz SUNYAC (13- 5, 86.7) 6-17
308 A Oneonta SUNYAC ( 7-10, 83.0) 17-14
319 H Plattsburgh SUNYAC ( 3-12, 77.8) 18- 9
325 A Morrisville SUNYAC ( 0-10, 72.7) 18- 3
329 A Nazareth Empire Eight (11- 8, 86.4) 9-19
402 H St John Fisher Empire Eight (18- 0, 96.3) 3-18
405 A Keuka Empire Eight ( 4-10, 71.2) 16- 3
409 A SUNY Poly Empire Eight ( 1-13, 68.7) 20- 4
412 H Brockport Empire Eight ( 9- 9, 88.0) 9-20
416 H Sage Empire Eight ( 3-11, 74.1) 20- 3
419 H Alfred Empire Eight ( 6-10, 77.7) 20- 4
423 A Hartwick Empire Eight ( 7- 8, 82.3) 12-13
426 A Geneseo Empire Eight (12- 7, 90.5) 6-19
429 A Brockport Empire Eight ( 9- 9, 88.0) 2-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
226 H Oswego 7-18 -11 -5 -0.49
301 H Buffalo State 10-11 -1 -1 0.05
304 A New Paltz 6-17 -11 -4 -0.69
308 A Oneonta 17-14 3 -1 + 3.68
319 H Plattsburgh 18- 9 9 6 0.00
325 A Morrisville 18- 3 15 10 0.00
329 A Nazareth 9-19 -10 -4 -0.95
402 H St John Fisher 3-18 -15 -13 0.00
405 A Keuka 16- 3 13 11 0.00
409 A SUNY Poly 20- 4 16 14 0.00
412 H Brockport 9-20 -11 -5 -0.37
416 H Sage 20- 3 17 9 0.00
419 H Alfred 20- 4 16 6 0.00
423 A Hartwick 12-13 -1 0 -1.10
426 A Geneseo 6-19 -13 -8 0.00
429 A Brockport 2-16 -14 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 A Oneonta 17-14 3 -1 + 3.68
|
Utica Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adrian |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Albertus Magnus |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Albion |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Albright |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Alfred |
Utica |
Utica |
 
| |
Alfred State |
Utica |
|
Utica   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Allegheny |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Utica |
Alma |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Alvernia |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Amherst |
Amherst |
|
 
| Amherst |
Anderson (IN) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Anna Maria |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Arcadia |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Augsburg |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Augustana (IL) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Aurora |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Averett |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Babson |
Babson |
|
 
| Babson |
Baldwin Wallace |
Baldwin Wallace |
|
 
| Baldwin Wallace |
Bard |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Bates |
Bates |
|
 
| Bates |
Beloit |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Berry |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Bethany |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
|
 
| Bowdoin |
Brevard |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Bridgewater |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Bridgewater State |
Bridgewater State |
|
 
| Bridgewater State |
Brockport |
Brockport |
Brockport |
 
| |
Buffalo State |
Buffalo State |
Buffalo State |
 
| |
Cal Lutheran |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Utica |
Calvin |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Canton |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 4) |
Utica |
Capital |
Capital |
|
 
| Capital |
Carroll |
Carroll |
|
 
| Carroll |
Carthage |
Carthage |
|
 
| Carthage |
Castleton |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Catholic |
Catholic |
|
 
| Catholic |
Cedar Crest |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Centenary (NJ) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Centre |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Chapman |
Chapman |
|
 
| Chapman |
Chatham |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Chicago |
Chicago |
|
 
| Chicago |
Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
|
 
| Christopher Newport |
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
|
 
| Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
Clark |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Clarkson |
Clarkson |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Clarkson |
Coast Guard |
Coast Guard |
|
 
| Coast Guard |
Colby |
Colby |
|
 
| Colby |
Colby-Sawyer |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Colorado College |
Colorado College |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colorado College |
Concordia-Wisconsin |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Connecticut College |
Connecticut College |
|
 
| Connecticut College |
Cornell College |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Cortland |
Cortland |
|
Cortland   6- 2 vs 3- 5 |
|
Curry |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Dean |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Delaware Valley |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Denison |
Denison |
|
 
| Denison |
DePauw |
DePauw |
|
 
| DePauw |
DeSales |
DeSales |
|
 
| DeSales |
Dickinson |
Dickinson |
|
 
| Dickinson |
Drew |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Eastern |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Eastern Connecticut |
Eastern Connecticut |
|
 
| Eastern Connecticut |
Eastern Mennonite |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Edgewood |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Elizabethtown |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Elmhurst |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Elmira |
Utica |
|
Utica   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Elms |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Emerson |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Emmanuel (MA) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Endicott |
Endicott |
|
 
| Endicott |
Farmingdale State |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
FDU-Florham |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Ferrum |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Fitchburg State |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Framingham State |
Framingham State |
|
 
| Framingham State |
Franciscan |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Franklin |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Franklin & Marshall |
Franklin & Marshall |
|
 
| Franklin & Marshall |
Fredonia |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 4)( 3- 5) |
Utica |
Geneseo |
Geneseo |
Geneseo |
 
| |
Geneva College |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Utica |
George Fox |
George Fox |
|
 
| George Fox |
Gettysburg |
Gettysburg |
|
 
| Gettysburg |
Gordon |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Goucher |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Greensboro |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Grove City |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Guilford |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Gwynedd Mercy |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Hamilton |
Hamilton |
|
Hamilton   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Hamline |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Hanover |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Hartford |
Hartford |
|
 
| Hartford |
Hartwick |
Hartwick |
Hartwick |
 
| |
Haverford |
Haverford |
|
 
| Haverford |
Hendrix |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Hilbert |
Utica |
|
Utica   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Hood |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Hope |
Hope |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Hope |
Huntingdon |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Husson |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Illinois Tech |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Illinois Wesleyan |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Immaculata |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Ithaca |
Ithaca |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Ithaca |
John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
Johnson & Wales |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Kalamazoo |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Kean |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Keene State |
Keene State |
|
 
| Keene State |
Kenyon |
Kenyon |
|
 
| Kenyon |
Keuka |
Utica |
Utica |
 
| |
Kings |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
La Roche |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Lake Forest |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Lasell |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Lawrence |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Lebanon Valley |
Lebanon Valley |
|
 
| Lebanon Valley |
Lewis & Clark |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Linfield |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Lycoming |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Lynchburg |
Lynchburg |
|
 
| Lynchburg |
Maine Maritime |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Maine-Farmington |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Manhattanville |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Utica |
Marian (WI) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Marietta |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Maritime |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Mary Washington |
Mary Washington |
|
 
| Mary Washington |
Marymount |
Marymount |
|
 
| Marymount |
Marywood |
Marywood |
|
 
| Marywood |
Massachusetts Maritime |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Massachusetts-Boston |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Massachusetts-Dartmouth |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
McDaniel |
McDaniel |
|
 
| McDaniel |
Merchant Marine |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Meredith |
Meredith |
|
 
| Meredith |
Messiah |
Messiah |
|
 
| Messiah |
Methodist |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Misericordia |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
MIT |
MIT |
|
 
| MIT |
Mitchell |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Montclair State |
Montclair State |
|
 
| Montclair State |
Moravian |
Moravian |
|
 
| Moravian |
Morrisville |
Utica |
Utica |
 
| |
Mount Aloysius |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Mount Holyoke |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Mount St Joseph |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Mount St Mary (NY) |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Mount St Vincent |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Mount Union |
Mount Union |
|
 
| Mount Union |
MSOE |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Muhlenberg |
Muhlenberg |
|
 
| Muhlenberg |
Muskingum |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Nazareth |
Nazareth |
Nazareth |
 
| |
Neumann |
Neumann |
|
 
| Neumann |
New England College |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Utica |
New Paltz |
New Paltz |
New Paltz |
 
| |
Nichols |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
North Carolina Wesleyan |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
North Central (IL) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Norwich |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Utica |
Notre Dame (MD) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Oberlin |
Oberlin |
|
 
| Oberlin |
Occidental |
Occidental |
|
 
| Occidental |
Oglethorpe |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Ohio Northern |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Ohio Wesleyan |
Ohio Wesleyan |
|
 
| Ohio Wesleyan |
Old Westbury |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Oneonta |
Utica |
Utica |
 
| |
Oswego |
Oswego |
Oswego |
 
| |
Otterbein |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Pacific |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Pacific Lutheran |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Pfeiffer |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Piedmont |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Utica |
Plattsburgh |
Utica |
Utica |
 
| |
Plymouth State |
Plymouth State |
|
 
| Plymouth State |
Pomona Pitzer |
Pomona Pitzer |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Pomona Pitzer |
Potsdam |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 4) |
Utica |
Puget Sound |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Purchase |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Ramapo |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Randolph |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Randolph-Macon |
Randolph-Macon |
|
 
| Randolph-Macon |
Redlands |
Redlands |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Redlands |
Regis (MA) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Rhode Island College |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Rhodes |
Rhodes |
|
 
| Rhodes |
RIT |
RIT |
|
RIT   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
Rivier |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Roanoke |
Roanoke |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Roanoke |
Rochester |
Rochester |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
Rochester |
Roger Williams |
Roger Williams |
|
 
| Roger Williams |
Rowan |
Rowan |
|
 
| Rowan |
RPI |
RPI |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
RPI |
Sage |
Utica |
Utica |
 
| |
Salem State |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Salisbury |
Salisbury |
|
 
| Salisbury |
Salve Regina |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Scranton |
Scranton |
|
 
| Scranton |
Sewanee |
Sewanee |
|
 
| Sewanee |
Shenandoah |
Shenandoah |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Shenandoah |
Simmons |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Skidmore |
Skidmore |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Skidmore |
Smith |
Smith |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Smith |
Southern Maine |
Southern Maine |
|
 
| Southern Maine |
Southern Virginia |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Southwestern |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Spalding |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Springfield |
Springfield |
|
 
| Springfield |
St Benedict |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
St John Fisher |
St John Fisher |
St John Fisher |
 
| |
St Joseph (CT) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
St Josephs (LI) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
St Josephs College (ME) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
St Lawrence |
St Lawrence |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
St Lawrence |
St Marys (IN) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
St Marys (MD) |
St Marys (MD) |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Marys (MD) |
St Vincent |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Stevens |
Stevens |
|
 
| Stevens |
Stevenson |
Stevenson |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Stevenson |
Stockton |
Stockton |
|
 
| Stockton |
Suffolk |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
SUNY Poly |
Utica |
Utica |
 
| |
Susquehanna |
Susquehanna |
|
 
| Susquehanna |
Swarthmore |
Swarthmore |
|
 
| Swarthmore |
Sweet Briar |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
TCNJ |
TCNJ |
|
 
| TCNJ |
Thiel |
Utica |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Utica |
Thomas |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Transylvania |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Trine |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Trinity |
Trinity |
|
 
| Trinity |
Trinity Washington |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Tufts |
Tufts |
|
 
| Tufts |
U New England |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Union |
Union |
|
Union   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Ursinus |
Ursinus |
|
 
| Ursinus |
Vassar |
Vassar |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Vassar |
Vermont State-Lyndon |
Utica |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Utica |
Virginia Wesleyan |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Warren Wilson |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Washington & Jefferson |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Washington & Lee |
Washington & Lee |
|
 
| Washington & Lee |
Washington College |
Washington College |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Washington College |
Wellesley |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wentworth Tech |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wesleyan |
Wesleyan |
|
 
| Wesleyan |
Western Connecticut |
Western Connecticut |
|
 
| Western Connecticut |
Western New England |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Westfield State |
Westfield State |
|
 
| Westfield State |
Westminster (PA) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wheaton (MA) |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Whitman |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Whittier |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Whitworth |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Widener |
Widener |
|
 
| Widener |
Wilkes |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Willamette |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
William Peace |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
William Smith |
William Smith |
|
William Smith   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Williams |
Williams |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Williams |
Wilson |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wisconsin-Eau Claire |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wisconsin-La Crosse |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wisconsin-River Falls |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wisconsin-Stevens Point |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wisconsin-Stout |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wittenberg |
Utica |
|
 
| Utica |
Wooster |
Wooster |
|
 
| Wooster |
Worcester State |
Worcester State |
|
 
| Worcester State |
York |
York |
|
 
| York |
PowerWise = 172

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Oswego (15- 2, 87.8) 7-18 -12.05 28.66 -0.49 1.00 -12.49
0 H Buffalo State (12- 7, 84.4) 10-11 -15.51 25.20 -0.49 1.00 -15.93
0 A New Paltz (13- 5, 86.7) 6-17 -13.24 27.47 0.49 1.00 -12.69
0 A Oneonta ( 7-10, 83.0) 17-14 -16.87 23.85 0.49 1.00 24.23
0 H Plattsburgh ( 3-12, 77.8) 18- 9 -22.15 18.57 -0.49 1.00 17.99
0 A Morrisville ( 0-10, 72.7) 18- 3 -27.15 13.56 0.49 1.00 13.99
0 A Nazareth (11- 8, 86.4) 9-19 -13.49 27.22 0.49 1.00 -12.94
0 H St John Fisher (18- 0, 96.3) 3-18 -3.63 37.09 -0.49 1.00 -4.10
0 A Keuka ( 4-10, 71.2) 16- 3 -28.66 12.05 0.49 1.00 12.49
0 A SUNY Poly ( 1-13, 68.7) 20- 4 -31.19 9.52 0.49 1.00 9.97
0 H Brockport ( 9- 9, 88.0) 9-20 -11.94 28.78 -0.49 1.00 -12.37
0 H Sage ( 3-11, 74.1) 20- 3 -25.75 14.96 -0.49 1.00 14.40
0 H Alfred ( 6-10, 77.7) 20- 4 -22.18 18.53 -0.49 1.00 17.96
0 A Hartwick ( 7- 8, 82.3) 12-13 -17.65 23.07 0.49 1.00 -17.08
0 A Geneseo (12- 7, 90.5) 6-19 -9.39 31.32 0.49 1.00 -8.86
0 A Brockport ( 9- 9, 88.0) 2-16 -11.94 28.78 0.49 1.00 -11.39
------
3.17
|
winning pts = 111.0285 losing points = -107.8572
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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